Murray St. is the first mid-major heartbreak of this March and
possibly not the only one. Albany (15-1 in American East), North Carolina
Central (16-0 in MEAC), Stephen F. Austin (17-1 in Southland), and New Mexico
St. (13-1 in WAC) will all need to win their conference tournaments despite
strong conference records. None of these five teams has the resume for an
at-large bid, but Murray St. does have a long shot at making the NCAA tournament.
The Racers finished 27-5 including a 25 game win streak. Murray St. went 11-1
in their last 12 games with a 13-4 record on the road. That is the good, but
the bad is, well, pretty bad. Here's a look at what will inevitably keep Murray
St. out of the NCAA tournament:
(1) 231 non-conference strength of schedule
(2) 1-2 record against the RPI Top 100 (defeated #68
Illinois St)
(3) 4-4 record against the RPI Top 150
(4) 21-1 record against RPI Sub 150 (lost to #248 Houston)
(5) 2-0 record against non-Division I schools
The bottom line is that Murray St. did not challenge
themselves enough. The Racers did not play a single team from a power conference
and played 24 of their 32 games against RPI Sub 150 teams. Some of this is out
of Murray St.'s control as the Ohio Valley Conference was only the 23rd best
conference meaning that the Racers had a limited amount of chances to get
quality wins within conference play. If Murray St. or other mid-major schools
want to improve their resume, they have to start challenging themselves more
during non-conference play on the road and against power conferences. You may
lose all of those games, but the committee will value you better for taking
chances. With limited chances to get quality wins in conference play, this is
the only way to get the coveted quality wins that are so desired by analysts
and the selection committee.
Murray St. will get an invitation to the NIT as their
regular season conference champion. While the NIT is not as prestigious as it
used to be, the postseason tournament can be a great place to build for the
future. Last season, Southern Methodist made the NIT championship and followed
that up with a 23-6 record this season and ranking in the top 25. Southern
Methodist will make the NCAA tournament for the first time in 23 years. In 2011,
Wichita St. won the NIT and has continued to build off the success of that
championship. In the following three seasons the Shockers made the NCAA
tournament, then the Final Four, and finally went into the NCAA tournament
undefeated as a 1 seed last season. This season, Wichita St. will get an
at-large bid for their fourth consecutive NCAA tournament appearance.
While this was the last chance for the three Murray St.
seniors to make it to the NCAA tournament, this could be the beginning of
something special for the remaining 10 Racers and incoming freshman. The NCAA
tournament could be as close as next season and a Final Four could be as close
as two seasons away as Wichita St. proved. March Madness provides for some
amazing moments, but is also host to some tough heartbreaks. This March's first
case of heartbreak goes to the Murray St. Racers.
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